Bitcoin Records
3 min read

Bitcoin Records Highest Monthly Close Ever, What’s Next for BTC?

By News Desk

Bitcoin closed the month of October at $61,343, which is its highest monthly close ever recorded. As Bitcoin Archive notes on Twitter, all-time high monthly closes are quite often a sign of more strength to come. 

Bitcoin’s closing price was roughly 3% away from analyst PlanB’s floor price prediction of $63,000, though that level was already hit earlier in the month. PlanB is now shooting for $98,000 in November, or about a 58% gain over the next 30 days. 

Some analysts are looking to previous bull markets to forecast what’s next for BTC. TechDev, for example, has his eye on the monthly relative strength index (RSI), which is currently grinding its way up past the 70 mark. He points out that in the previous bull cycles, the monthly RSI has made two separate waves to the upper end of the scale before price tops out. If Bitcoin is indeed about to form another blow-off top in the coming months, the RSI pattern would perhaps look like a more spread out version of 2013’s cycle. 

“We are now headed toward our second monthly RSI peak like every cycle before.

Nowhere near a top.

Trust the indicators.”

Image

TechDev/Twitter

On-chain analysts are also generally in agreeance of a healthy market structure. Glassnode analyst TXMC says Bitcoin pretty much looks like a “coiled spring.” In a thread, the analyst says that the realized HODL (RHODL) ratio, which compares old coins to young coins, is “screaming” that BTC is midway through a bull market which began in 2019. Peaks in RHODL have correlated with blow-off market cycle tops, according to Glassnode’s data.

“It’s aligned with the 2013 double pump bull run, matching where price usually breaks the ATH, and has called each previous macro top in history.”

While on-chain activity is relatively quiet, even at all time highs, the Glassnode analyst says it’s nothing to worry about for bulls as retail traders don’t “need to be here for price discovery” until the next big narrative comes along. 

The on-chain analyst also points out one thing about the current Bitcoin bull market that makes it unique to others. TXMC says that the liquid supply of BTC, or the number of coins owned by people with a history of selling, has been steadily going down relative to illiquid supply ever since March of 2020. This appears to be an unprecedented phenomenon, and could suggest increasing pressure on supply.

“Liquid Supply, the BTC owned by entities with a history of selling, has been in decline since March 2020 after a decade of growth.

HODLers are taking more and more supply away from this class of investors.

No previous bull run has seen Liquid Supply in steady decline.”

All eyes will be on the flagship crypto in November to see if it can live up to it’s bullish monthly breakout. 

Disclaimer: These are the writer’s opinions and should not be considered investment advice. Readers should do their own research.

Latest Posts

Trader Joe Review
Trader Joe Review 2022: Complete Guide to the Top DEX on Avalanche
Trader Joe Review

Trader Joe Review 2022: Complete Guide to the Top DEX on Avalanche

July 2, 2022 30 min read
Huobi Global Review
Huobi Global Review 2022: Good Exchange with DEEP Liquidity
Huobi Global Review

Huobi Global Review 2022: Good Exchange with DEEP Liquidity

June 29, 2022 37 min read
FTX vs FTX US Review
FTX vs FTX US: Which one is BEST for You?
FTX vs FTX US Review

FTX vs FTX US: Which one is BEST for You?

June 27, 2022 14 min read
Bancor Review
Bancor Review: Impermanent Loss Protector?
Bancor Review

Bancor Review: Impermanent Loss Protector?

June 22, 2022 15 min read
Bridge Mutual Review
Bridge Mutual: Insurance for your Crypto
Bridge Mutual Review

Bridge Mutual: Insurance for your Crypto

June 22nd, 2022 22 min read
Serum Review
Serum Review: Solana’s One-Stop DeFi Toolbelt
Serum Review

Serum Review: Solana’s One-Stop DeFi Toolbelt

June 16, 2022 17 min read
Raydium Review: Solana’s DeFi Liquidity Mammoth

Raydium Review: Solana’s DeFi Liquidity Mammoth

June 11, 2022 17 min read

Related Posts

Trader Joe Review
Trader Joe Review 2022: Complete Guide to the Top DEX on Avalanche
Trader Joe Review

Trader Joe Review 2022: Complete Guide to the Top DEX on Avalanche

July 2, 2022 30 min read
Huobi Global Review
Huobi Global Review 2022: Good Exchange with DEEP Liquidity
Huobi Global Review

Huobi Global Review 2022: Good Exchange with DEEP Liquidity

June 29, 2022 37 min read
FTX vs FTX US Review
FTX vs FTX US: Which one is BEST for You?
FTX vs FTX US Review

FTX vs FTX US: Which one is BEST for You?

June 27, 2022 14 min read
Bancor Review
Bancor Review: Impermanent Loss Protector?
Bancor Review

Bancor Review: Impermanent Loss Protector?

June 22, 2022 15 min read
Bridge Mutual Review
Bridge Mutual: Insurance for your Crypto
Bridge Mutual Review

Bridge Mutual: Insurance for your Crypto

June 22nd, 2022 22 min read
Serum Review
Serum Review: Solana’s One-Stop DeFi Toolbelt
Serum Review

Serum Review: Solana’s One-Stop DeFi Toolbelt

June 16, 2022 17 min read
crypto com
Crypto.com Exchange Review 2022: A World-Class Crypto Exchange
crypto com

Crypto.com Exchange Review 2022: A World-Class Crypto Exchange

June 14th, 2022 30 min read